Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 3.230466 3.617113 4.035855 4.523730 5.077387 5.687147 6.410895
2024-10-06 2.786394 3.325245 3.950970 4.733999 5.691477 6.828965 8.289815
2024-10-13 2.403867 3.009484 3.750784 4.730565 5.999884 7.600030 9.787799
2024-10-20 2.112536 2.748999 3.562059 4.685873 6.212977 8.235801 11.151437
2024-10-27 1.810116 2.430896 3.252140 4.429960 6.095246 8.394548 11.860082
2024-11-03 1.655636 2.288861 3.154051 4.438221 6.322564 9.028061 13.282635
2024-11-10 1.558791 2.213526 3.135284 4.547942 6.694386 9.892242 15.128659
2024-11-17 1.453522 2.114194 3.069655 4.576952 6.940933 10.583948 16.775760
2024-11-24 1.361475 2.024700 3.008024 4.601627 7.176195 11.271966 18.483504
2024-12-01 1.279243 1.942048 2.947828 4.619494 7.396682 11.949913 20.241372
2024-12-08 1.178487 1.822122 2.819182 4.514146 7.401523 12.265794 21.398399
2024-12-15 1.103726 1.737049 2.737996 4.477398 7.514120 12.768594 22.936554
2024-12-22 1.033935 1.656507 2.660558 4.444655 7.638185 13.317071 24.653199
2024-12-29 1.013753 1.655903 2.714535 4.641922 8.187739 14.685862 28.112175
2025-01-05 0.958734 1.592347 2.656904 4.636367 8.365884 15.383167 30.328811
2025-01-12 0.902295 1.522063 2.581969 4.592120 8.465443 15.937177 32.316479
2025-01-19 0.818254 1.397845 2.403454 4.341704 8.145926 15.636566 32.454254
2025-01-26 0.780804 1.353636 2.364391 4.349753 8.331663 16.364227 34.916191
2025-02-02 0.760472 1.338682 2.376958 4.457056 8.724669 17.555731 38.572077
2025-02-09 0.730626 1.304161 2.350637 4.485426 8.957500 18.431882 41.614793
2025-02-16 0.702336 1.270589 2.323555 4.509557 9.182684 19.312951 44.786256
2025-02-23 0.675161 1.237302 2.294566 4.527030 9.394347 20.184410 48.051814
2025-03-02 0.635635 1.177852 2.210785 4.424000 9.332225 20.426514 49.755591